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10:15
IMF LOWERS FORECAST FOR KAZAKHSTAN'S GDP IN 2009

Almaty, July 29 (Interfax-Kazakhstan) - Real GDP in Kazakhstan in 2009 will contract by 2%, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) believes.

Such information is included in the IMF statement on the results of the IMF Executive Board Consultation with the Republic of Kazakhstan.

Earlier the IMF forecasted Kazakhstan's GDP to grow 1%.

According to the statement, GDP in Kazakhstan will grow 2% in 2010.

In 2008 GDP growth in Kazakhstan made up 3.2%.

According to the IMF forecast, inflation in the current year will amount to 8.5%, 6.3% in 2010. In 2008 inflation amounted to 9.5%.

Meanwhile, IMF believes that monetary base will increase by 16.6% in the current year and by 14.6% in 2010 (in 2008 its growth amounted to 0.5%).

Banking sector credit to the economy in 2009 to grow 13.9% and 16.6% in 2010 (in 2008 its growth made up 5.2%).

"The economy is expected to contract by 2 percent this year, recovering modestly in 2010 to grow by 2 percent. Lower oil prices will push the current account balance back into a deficit, although with foreign direct investment remaining strong and new bilateral financing emerging the overall balance of payments will remain robust. Inflation will remain contained as the weak demand environment limits the ability of producers to pass on higher import costs from the devaluation earlier in the year. The weakening economy and large "anti-crisis" spending will push the fiscal position into a deficit this year, the first since 2000," the statement runs.

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